Tuesday, May 18, 2010
Sayings For15 Invites
engagement, dear Obama! A
That fiasco your engagement, my Obama! ...
16:33 - With extraordinary - and suspicion - timing, Hillary Clinton has just told the Foreign Affairs Committee of the U.S. Senate is ready draft resolution to impose new sanctions on Iran, which is the agreement of Russia and China in the coming hours and will be circulated at the UN Headquarters. We will soon see what is really defined or if it is accelerated in an attempt to strike up a reaction (especially for "bind" Moscow and Beijing) the agreement announced yesterday by Iran, Brazil and Turkey ...
14:10
- A total success of Ahmadinejad and a humiliating failure for Obama. This, in political terms, the meaning of the Agreement on Iran's nuclear signed yesterday in Tehran with Turkey and Brazil . The Iranian president with a single shot break the isolation wards off virtually approval of new UN sanctions, and crosses the already advantageous proposal of the IAEA. Determining the role of Turkey and Brazil, the "non-aligned" of our days in the West - America in the lead - to show not yet understand the role and weight. Washington is crowded out, stutters. After all efforts to persuade Russia and China to consider the possibility of new sanctions, yet to be defined, and after all the toads swallowed by Tehran in spite of the "helping hand", you see overtaken by Turkey and Brazil, which certainly can not be trusted in the management of Iranian uranium as France and Russia, and made the corner from Tehran. And in any case, if you still want to get the Iranian uranium in Russia or in France, a questo punto bisognerà concedere qualcosa in più agli iraniani. L'effetto dell'accordo di ieri sarà di rallentare ancor di più, se non arrestare del tutto, il già lento processo di definizione di nuove sanzioni. Insomma, la strategia iraniana di prendere tempo ottiene un grande risultato, forse decisivo nella sua corsa all'atomica.
Un «fiasco» per l'amministrazione Obama.
Il Wall Street Journal definisce senza mezzi termini l'accordo annunciato ieri da Iran, Brasile e Turchia per il trasferimento e l'arricchimento all'estero dell'uranio iraniano. Il «colpaccio» di Teheran «rende istantaneamente irrilevanti 16 mesi di diplomazia obamiana» e «forse assesta il colpo di grazia the uncertain efforts of the West to prevent Iran from acquiring a nuclear bomb. " "Full credit for this debacle is unfortunate the Obama administration and its diplomatic strategy," according to the newspaper, recalling the original proposal to transfer Iran's uranium enrichment abroad, advanced by the group last October 5 +1 by the IAEA, but rejected by Tehran. But President Obama "does not consider the responses" no "rogue regimes, and so has kept the offer on the table." And while eventually the United States seemed to have decided to pursue the path of sanctions, the Iranians have decided to accept the deal on their own terms con lo «scudo diplomatico» di brasiliani e turchi.
La «beffa» è che proprio Washington aveva «incoraggiato» la diplomazia del presidente brasiliano Lula come «passo per favorire un consenso unanime sulle nuove sanzioni Onu». Lula ha invece «usato l'apertura Usa per la propria soluzione diplomatica.
Nella sua prima mano di poker diplomatico con un'alta posta in gioco - conclude il WSJ - il segretario di Stato Hillary Clinton sta lasciando il tavolo a mani vuote». «Invece che mettere l'Iran in un angolo questa primavera, Ahmadinejad ci ha messo Obama». L'«imbarazzo» della Casa Bianca, sottolinea il WSJ, è evidente e ha cercato di mettere in luce le differenze tra the agreement announced yesterday and the one proposed last fall. "But having played so prominent a role" in the negotiations of that time, notes the WSJ, the United States "can not so easily disassociate themselves from something that is broadly in line with that framework." Under the agreement yesterday on Iran "in Turkey will transfer 1,200 pounds of low enriched uranium within a month and no later than one year will receive 120 kilograms of enriched somewhere abroad." But in the meantime, during these seven months, yet the WSJ points out, Iran "has carried its enrichment activities to a higher gear." It is estimated that its total stock of low enriched uranium is' rose from 1,500 to 2,300 pounds last fall and its stated goal of enrichment from 3.5 to 20%. "
"If the West accepts this deal - WSJ warns - Iran would be allowed to continue enriching uranium in violation of previous UN resolutions and the transfer of 1,200 pounds will leave Iran with a quantity of low-grade uranium enrichment still enough to make a bomb, and once the uranium is enriched to 20% will be technically easier to achieve the levels of enrichment needed for the bomb. "
Last week, the newspaper U.S. diplomats at the IAEA reported that Iran has increased the number of centrifuges that are using to enrich uranium. " According to Western intelligence estimates, "continues to buy key components for bombs." According to the CIA last year, Tehran would even "tripled its uranium stocks" and would be approached "to self-sufficiency in the production of nuclear missiles."
Yesterday's agreement makes it almost certainly the way the United Nations a "dead end". "After 16 months of an outstretched hand and after minimized the support of the democratic opposition in Iran - said the Wall Street Journal - Obama now faces Iran closer to a bomb and less diplomatically isolated than when President Bush He left his office. "
Israel, the paper added, "must seriously consider its military options." A result of which we must thank the "diplomatic double-dealing" turkish Prime Minister Erdogan and President Lula of Brazil, but especially the U.S. president,
"whose diplomacy has succeeded mainly in persuading rogue states of the world that does not have the determination to stop their destructive ambitions. " editorial comment critical of the Bret Stephens: Despite the game being played that Tehran is not much more complicated than a "game of checkers," "The trouble is that we are fighting." The original agreement, he recalls, would have committed Iran to transfer abroad 1,200 kilograms of uranium enriched to 3.5% because it was enriched to 20%, so it can be used in a small research reactor in Tehran. With this agreement, the West would buy a year's time before Iran could produce 1,900 kilograms of low enriched uranium from 20 pounds to get high enriched to produce a bomb. An offer too good to be refused, since Iran could in the meantime continue to enrich uranium in violation of UN resolutions, to obtain a significant basis of uranium enriched to 20%, which produce a bomb within weeks rather than months, and avoid further sanctions.
But Iran has rejected this proposal because, according to Stephens, "has learned that the West - and especially the Obama administration - never closes the door, as it may seem narrow the diplomatic window of opportunity, and never does not require a price in the face of misconduct» . "What was once considered a 'deviant' behavior by Tehran - to encourage wiping Israel off the map; enrich uranium in violation of UN resolutions; become a nuclear power - is increasingly seen as something normal, or understandable or inevitable. "
"Whatever the U.S. administration to react to the agreement yesterday - the columnist notes the WSJ - Iran has ensured that the Security Council, which currently sit even Turkey and Brazil, will not approve new sanctions.
Those sanctions were not particularly effective, but it would undermine Iran isolated and generated a global consensus "against its nuclear program. "Now it seems that the supporters of 'engagement' in the Obama administration will fail if the unilateralist Bush administration failed three times." It will be tough for the United States, reflects Stephens, explain why it makes no sense that an agreement has never withdrawn from the table. "The answer, of course, is that that agreement has never made much sense, but has even less now that Iran has enriched diverse centinaia di chili di uranio in più e lo sta arricchendo ad una velocità di 78 chili al mese, molto maggiore di quanto fosse in grado l'anno scorso». In una recente analisi per il Nonproliferation Policy Education Center, Gregory Jones osserva che «l'Iran potrebbe avere abbastanza uranio a basso arricchimento da processare in modo da renderlo utilizzabile per scopi militari verso la fine di luglio e quindi potrebbe produrre quell'uranio altamente arricchito di cui ha bisogno per metà novembre». «Con l'ipocrita trionfo della diplomazia di ieri, in realtà ogni speranza di un esito diplomatico è svanita. E
sul suo più decisivo test di politica estera, l'amministrazione Obama ha perso il controllo the course of events. Or Iran - concluded Stephens - will become a nuclear power, or will be stopped by military action. Or a war, then, or a phase of nuclear proliferation in the Middle East.
The administrator has any illusions of being able to contain it all - the Iranian ambitions, insecurities Arabs, Israel's concern for their lives - through astute diplomacy. But the past does not inspire much confidence. " From: http://jimmomo.blogspot.com/
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Thanks Obama! It's better! A real amateurs who unfortunately play with our cards. A president-mozzarella that is almost ignored by foreign diplomacy and continues in a suicidal policy of dialogue without having no one to listen.
The result of this set is that the White House, as usual, Israel will have to step in and take the insults and hatred of the world, but this time the unknowns are many: the involvement of Turkey and Brazil would, in the case of the Israeli blitz consequences difficult to imagine.
Where are you dear old George W. Bush, commander in chief real, true American leader who was respected in the world, nothing but smiles and bows, where are you? You can not throw mud in this way, the spirit of the great Ronald Reagan, who defeated the evil Soviet empire without firing a shot gun!
America raised, for the love of God! Someone directs the amateur and tell him what to say, what to do, how to move, the game is in the WORLD!
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